Sunday, March 16, 2014

Dance Prediction

Ok, so we have 32 AUTO bids and 28 LOCKS.  That gives us 60 spots taken with eight to fill.  I have 15 ZOMBIE teams, so seven of them are going to bite the big one tonight.  Here is who is in the dance and who I feel will bow out...

AUTO BIDS (32)
Harvard
Eastern Kentucky
Coastal Carolina
Mercer
Wichita State
Delaware
Manhattan
Wofford
Mount St. Mary's
Milwaukee
North Dakota State
Gonzaga
American
Tulsa
Albany
Texas Southern
UCLA
Louisville
North Carolina Central
New Mexico
Western Michigan
Weber State
Stephen F Austin
Providence
Cal Poly
New Mexico State
UL Lafayette
St. Joseph's
Virginia
Iowa State
Michigan State
Florida

LOCK (28)
Villanova
SMU
Kansas State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma
Oregon
Memphis
St. Louis
North Carolina
Kansas
Syracuse
Colorado
UMASS
Cincinnati
Texas
Pittsburgh
Ohio State
George Washington
Wisconsin
Arizona
UCONN
San Diego State
Creighton
Duke
VCU
Baylor
Michigan
Kentucky

ZOMBIES (15)
I think these eight schools are in...
BYU
Iowa
Arizona State
Nebraska
Dayton
Southern Mississippi
Xavier
Tennessee

I think these seven schools are out...
Arkansas
California
Missouri
Minnesota
Stanford
North Carolina State
Toledo

We'll know in an hour or so.  Thanks for reading.

Curt

Dead or Alive 3/15

We lost 15 more teams on Saturday.  Now a total of 275 dead and only 76 still remaining with a chance at the title.  Here are the 15 that got crossed off on Saturday...

AMERICA EAST - Stony Brook
ATLANTIC 10 - St. Bonaventure
SUN BELT - Arkansas State, South Alabama, Texas State, Western Kentucky
SEC - Georgia
SWAC - Prairie View A&M
MEAC - Morgan State
CONFERENCE USA - Louisiana Tech
PAC 12 - Utah
BIG SKY - North Dakota
SOUTHLAND - Sam Houston State
BIG WEST - Cal State Northridge
WAC - Idaho



14 AUTO bids were handed out on Saturday.  That brings us to a total of 27 AUTO bids with five more to go on Sunday.  Here is who punched their ticket on Saturday...

CONFERENCE USA- Tulsa
AMERICA EAST - Albany
SWAC - Texas Southern
PAC 12 - UCLA
AMERICAN - Louisville
MEAC - North Carolina Central
MOUNTAIN WEST - New Mexico
MAC - Western Michigan
BIG SKY - Weber State
SOUTHLAND - Stephen F. Austin
BIG EAST - Providence
BIG 12 - Iowa State
BIG WEST - Cal Poly
WAC - New Mexico State



Nine teams lost in their conference tourneys but will be LOCK's for the dance.  We now have a total of 24 in LOCK status.  Here is who earned the LOCK on Saturday...

ACC - Pittsburgh
BIG 10 - Ohio State, Wisconsin
ATLANTIC 10 - George Washington
PAC 12 - Arizona
AMERICAN - UCONN
MOUNTAIN WEST - San Diego State
BIG EAST - Creighton
BIG 12 - Baylor



We added three more schools to the ZOMBIE category on Saturday.  I now have 15 teams in the ZOMBIE category.  It's looking like those 15 teams will be fighting for eight spots.  Here is who went ZOMBIE on Saturday...

SEC - Tennessee
ACC - North Carolina State
MAC - Toledo



Five more conference tourney championship games on Sunday before the brackets are released.  If you look below, we have 51 teams in for sure and nine that will be in after Sunday's games.  Here are the 15 ZOMBIE teams that will be competing for those last eight spots...

In order of RPI...

31 BYU
32 Southern Mississippi
38 Toledo
40 Stanford
41 Tennessee
42 Dayton
43 Arizona State
46 Xavier
47 Nebraska
49 Missouri
50 Minnesota
54 North Carolina State
56 Iowa
63 California
77 Arkansas

Who do you think should be in?  I'll send out something on Sunday with who I think will make it and why. 

STANDINGS
TOTAL    351
DEAD      275
ALIVE       76
ZOMBIE    15
AUTO        27
LOCK        24

Thanks for reading.

Curt

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Dead or Alive 3/14

The number of teams alive is getting smaller and smaller and smaller.  Now only 91 teams are alive after another 29 teams died on Friday.  Here are the teams that lost their chance on Friday...

ACC - Florida State, Clemson
BIG 10 - Illinois, Northwestern
SWAC - Alabama State, Alabama A&M
SEC - South Carolina, LSU, Mississippi
CONFERENCE USA - Middle Tennessee,
SOUTHLAND - Northwestern State, Texas A&M Corpus Christi,
MEAC - Norfolk State, Coppin State
ATLANTIC 10 - Richmond,
MAC - Akron, Eastern Michigan
BIG SKY - Portland State, Northern Colorado
AMERICAN - Houston,
BIG EAST - Seton Hall,
SUN BELT - Arkansas-Little Rock, Texas Arlington
MOUNTAIN WEST - UNLV, Boise State
WAC - Utah Valley, Cal State Bakersfield
BIG WEST - UC Irvine, Long Beach State



The LOCK category is getting crowded as teams continue to be upset in their conference tourneys.  These teams however, did enough to get to the big dance.  The teams that earned the LOCK status on Friday were...

ATLANTIC 10 - St. Louis, UMASS
ACC -  North Carolina, Syracuse
BIG 12 - Kansas, Texas
PAC 12 - Colorado
AMERICAN - Cincinnati



And we got a few more ZOMBIES on Friday.  These teams will be sweating it out Sunday night.  The teams that couldn't get it done and now need to pray are...

SEC - Missouri
BIG 10 - Nebraska, Minnesota
ATLANTIC 10 - Dayton
CONFERENCE USA - Southern Mississippi
BIG EAST - Xavier
PAC 12 - Stanford



STANDINGS
TOTAL    351
DEAD      260
ALIVE       91
ZOMBIE    13
AUTO        13
LOCK        15

There are 14 Conference Championship games on Saturday.  That will give us 28 AUTO bids by the end of the day.  Only these two days left before the committee makes their decision.  Saturday night I'll have a breakdown of who I think will make the dance and get rid of some of these ZOMBIES.  Thanks for reading.

Curt


Friday, March 14, 2014

Dead or Alive 3/13

And we are officially down the homestretch.  A record 48 teams died on Thursday.  We now have a total of 231 teams in the ground and only 120 remaining.  Here are the schools that didn't make it on Thursday...

ATLANTIC 10 - LaSalle, Fordham, Duquesne,
BIG 10 - Indiana, Purdue, Penn State,
ACC - Maryland, Wake Forest, Miami (FL), Georgia Tech
SEC - Texas A&M, Alabama, Mississippi State
SWAC - Alcorn State,
CONFERENCE USA - Tulane, Old Dominion, UTEP, Charlotte
MOUNTAIN WEST - Utah State, Wyoming, Fresno State, Nevada
BIG WEST - UC Santa Barbara, Cal State Fullerton, UC Riverside, Hawaii
WAC - Texas Pan American, UMKC, Chicago State, Seattle
BIG EAST - St. John's, DePaul, Marquette
AMERICAN - Rutgers, Central Florida,
BIG SKY - Sacramento State, Northern Arizona, Montana
SOUTHLAND - Nicholls State, Oral Roberts
MEAC - Florida A&M, Savannah State
MAC - Ohio, Buffalo
SUN BELT - Troy, UL Monroe
BIG 12 - West Virginia



We have our first group of LOCKS.  A LOCK is a team that is out of their tourney but is a LOCK for the NCAA Tourney.  Here is who earned that status on Thursday...

BIG EAST - Villanova
AMERICAN - Southern Methodist
BIG 12 - Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma
PAC 12 - Oregon
AMERICAN - Memphis



We added a new group of ZOMBIE teams as well.  Here are the teams that are now part of that group...

PAC 12 - Utah, California, Arizona State
SEC - Arkansas
BIG 10 - Iowa



STANDINGS
TOTAL    351
DEAD      231
ALIVE     120
ZOMBIE     7
AUTO       13
LOCK         6

All tournaments are underway and there are no tourney championship games on Friday.  Three more days of basketball until the 68 are revealed.  Getting closer.  Thanks for reading.

Curt

Thursday, March 13, 2014

Dead or Alive 3/12

Another 31 teams bit the dust on Wednesday.  The casualties are mounting and now over half of the teams are dead.  The total amount of deaths is now at 183, with only 168 teams still alive.  Here are the schools that had their runs ended on Wednesday...

ACC - Notre Dame, Virginia Tech, Boston College
CONFERENCE USA - North Texas, Marshall, East Carolina, UAB
PAC 12 - Washington, USC, Oregon State, Washington State
MOUNTAIN WEST - Colorado State, Air Force, San Jose State
SOUTHLAND - Southeastern Louisiana, McNeese State
MEAC - Howard, Hampton
MAC - Miami (OH), Eastern Michigan
BIG EAST - Butler, Georgetown
ATLANTIC 10 - George Mason
BIG 12 - Texas Tech, TCU
SEC - Auburn, Vanderbilt
AMERICAN - South Florida, Temple
PATRIOT - Boston
SWAC - Southern



One more ticket was punched on Wednesday.  American wins the Patriot over Boston.  It was a beat down.

PATRIOT - American

STANDINGS
TOTAL    351
DEAD      183
ALIVE     168
ZOMBIE     1
AUTO       13
LOCK         0

No Conference Championship games on Thursday.

The last five conference tournaments get started on Thursday.  The Big Sky has been dominated by Weber State, they should win the tourney.  UC Irvine is the favorite in the Big West.  The Big Ten should be a fun one.  About 8 teams could win it.  I think Wisconsin will take it.  Georgia State is the team to beat the in Sun Belt and Utah Valley is the one seed in the WAC.

Only four more days now until Selection Sunday.  Thanks for reading.

Curt

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Dead or Alive 3/11

Tuesday was the last weak day of the season.  Only 13 games were on the schedule all day, that will change tomorrow.  10 teams were eliminated on Tuesday, here is who is finished...

SWAC - Jackson State
MEAC - North Carolina A&T, Bethune Cookman, Delaware State
CONFERENCE USA - Rice, Florida Atlantic, Texas-San Antonio
NORTHEAST - Robert Morris
HORIZON - Wright State
SUMMIT - IPFW



Four more teams punched their tickets to the dance as they were awarded the AUTO bids.  There have now been 12 AUTO's handed out.  Here is who earned them on Tuesday night...

HORIZON - Milwaukee
NORTHEAST - Mount St. Mary's
SUMMIT - North Dakota State
WEST COAST - Gonzaga



We have our first ZOMBIE team of the year.  The BYU Cougars are not dead, but not totally alive.  They have an RPI of 31, eight top 100 wins, and 22 wins.  Personally, I think they are in, but definitely not a lock.  Your new Zombie team...

WEST COAST - BYU

Here is how the numbers look...

STANDINGS
TOTAL    351
DEAD      152
ALIVE     199
ZOMBIE     1
AUTO       12
LOCK         0

Only one Conference Championship to be played on Wednesday.  The Patriot final is American vs. Boston.  Boston is the favorite but they split with American early this year.  American won their home game by 30.  Favorites haven't been doing to well so I'll take American in this one.

Seven Conferences get started on Wednesday, finally some of the big ones.  Here are the favorites, who I think will win, and who I want to win...

AMERICAN - Louisville, Louisville, Temple
ATLANTIC 10 - St. Louis, VCU, Dayton
ACC - Duke, Syracuse, Virginia
BIG 12 - Kansas, Iowa State, West Virginia
MOUNTAIN WEST - San Diego State, New Mexico, Fresno State
SEC - Florida, Florida, Florida
SOUTHLAND - Stephen F. Austin, Stephen F. Austin, Stephen F. Austin



Five more days until Selection Sunday.  Thanks for reading.

Curt

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Dead or Alive 3/10

Well, we lost another 13 teams on Monday.  Getting closer to the final number.  The total now sits at 142 dead.  Here are the teams that can close the books on the 2014 season...

MEAC - Maryland-Eastern Shore, South Carolina State
SUMMIT - Denver, South Dakota Sate
MAC - Kent State, Ball State, Central Michigan, Bowling Green
COLONIAL - William & Mary
MAAC - Iona
WEST COAST - St. Mary's, San Francisco
SOUTHERN - Western Carolina



Three more teams locked up AUTO bids on Monday night.  That brings the total to 8 bids so far.  Here are the teams that punched their tickets on Monday...

MAAC - Manhattan
COLONIAL - Delaware
SOUTHERN - Wofford



STANDINGS
TOTAL    351
DEAD      142
ALIVE     209
ZOMBIE     0
AUTO         8
LOCK         0

We have four championship games on Tuesday.  The Horizon pits Milwaukee vs. Wright State, the Raiders have a losing record in the conference, you don't see those teams make the dance very often.  Mount St. Mary's vs. Robert Morris is your Northeast Conference Final.  Robert Morris has been the team to beat all year.  It'll be IPFW vs. North Dakota State in the Summit Championship.  NDSU has been trouncing teams, I think that will continue. In the West Coast it's Gonzaga vs. BYU.  Both of the teams should have a chance to get into the tourney, win or lose, but it's best if they win.

Two more conferences start their tourneys on Tuesday.  The SWAC will get started with Southern as the top seed.  Conference USA is a tourney you really want to watch.  A four way tie at the top at 13-3?  Has that ever happened?  No idea who wins this one, I'll take Southern Mississippi.

6 more days of basketball until Selection Sunday.  Thanks for reading.

Curt

Monday, March 10, 2014

Dead or Alive 3/9

We enter the final week of the College Basketball season with 222 teams still with a shot.  Another 13 teams were eliminated on Sunday.  Here are the teams that went down...

BIG SOUTH - Winthrop
ATLANTIC SUN - Florida Gulf Coast
MISSOURI VALLEY - Indiana State
COLONIAL - Northeastern, Towson
MAAC - Canisius, Quinnipiac
AMERICA EAST - Vermont, Hartford
SOUTHERN - Davidson, Georgia Southern
SUMMIT - South Dakota, Western Illinois



Three more schools earned AUTO bids on Sunday by winning their conference tournaments, they are...

BIG SOUTH - Coastal Carolina
ATLANTIC SUN - Mercer
MISSOURI VALLEY - Wichita State


Here are what the total standings look like with 7 days of basketball to go...

TOTAL    351
DEAD      129
ALIVE     222
ZOMBIE     0
AUTO         5
LOCK         0

Three more conference championship games will be held on Monday.  The Southern Conference will be without Davidson for the first time in awhile, Wofford and Western Carolina will faceoff for the title.  The MAAC will have Manhattan take on top seeded Iona.  Iona is always a tough out in the dance if they get there.  William and Mary will face Delaware in the Colonial.  Delaware has been trouncing teams lately, they should win that one.

 The MAC and the MEAC will start their tourneys on Monday.  Can my Bobcats get back to the dance in Kellogg's last year?  25-5 North Carolina Central is the team to beat in the MEAC.  7 days of basketball until Selection Sunday, getting closer.  Thanks for reading.

Curt

Sunday, March 9, 2014

Dead or Alive 3/8

The last Sunday before Selection Sunday has arrived and the casualties are rapidly mounting.  A total of 35 teams were decapitated on Saturday bringing us to a total of 116 in the cemetery.  Here are the schools that lost their chance of holding the trophy on Saturday...

AMERICA EAST - New Hampshire, UMBC, Maine, Binghamton
NORTHEAST - Wagner, St. Francis (PA)
MAAC - Rider, Siena, St. Peter's, Niagara
SOUTHERN - Samford, Elon, Chattanooga, The Citadel
BIG SOUTH - UNC Asheville, Virginia Military Institute
COLONIAL - Hofstra, Drexel, James Madison, Charleston
MISSOURI VALLEY - Missouri State, Southern Illinois
WEST COAST - San Diego, Loyola Marymount, Santa Clara, Pepperdine
PATRIOT - Army, Holy Cross
SUMMIT - IUPUI
HORIZON - Cleveland State, Green Bay
OHIO VALLEY - Belmont
SOUTHLAND - Central Arkansas
BIG SKY - Montana State, Eastern Washington



We did get our second AUTO bid of the tourney on Saturday, Eastern Kentucky won the Ohio Valley Conference Championship over Belmont.

OHIO VALLEY - Eastern Kentucky



I thought we had our first ZOMBIE team on Saturday but I have changed my mind, Green Bay is officially dead.  With an RPI of 60 and only 21 Division 1 wins, I just can't see it happening.  So here is where we stand...

TOTAL    351
DEAD      116
ALIVE     235
ZOMBIE     0
AUTO         2
LOCK         0

There will be three Championship games on Sunday which will bring us up to five AUTO bids by the end of the day.  In the Big South Championship we have Winthrop vs. Coastal Carolina.  Winthrop has won both matchups this year between the two teams.  In the Atlantic Sun matchup we have Mercer vs. Florida Gulf Coast.  Can FGCU make the tourney and make a run like last year?  They split between Mercer earlier this year.  Will Indiana State give Wichita State a game?  I'm thinking they will, this will be a good one in the Missouri Valley.

No conferences start their tourneys on Sunday, but we have some major conferences finishing up their regular season, so plenty of action to watch.  Any thoughts on Green Bay or anything else we've seen this week?  Thanks for reading.

Curt

Saturday, March 8, 2014

Dead or Alive 3/7

Friday gave us a first, we got our first ticket punched to the dance.  The Harvard Crimson clinched the Ivy League.  Only 67 spots left to fill in the next nine days. On the other side we lost 17 more teams on Friday. The total deceased is now at 81 with only 270 remaining in the hunt.  Here are the teams that lost it last night...

MISSOURI VALLEY - Illinois State, Loyola (IL), Northern Iowa, Evansville
SOUTHERN - UNC Greensboro, Appalachian State, Furman
BIG SOUTH - Charleston Southern, Gardner Webb, High Point, Radford
HORIZON - Oakland, Valparaiso
COLONIAL - UNC Wilmington
IVY - Yale
OHIO VALLEY - Morehead State, Murray State

And to make it official, here are the teams that received an auto bid...

IVY - Harvard

STANDINGS
Schools.      351
Dead.            81
Alive.          270
Auto.              1
Lock.              0
Zombie.          0

Two more conferences get started on Saturday, we got the Summit League and the America East. North Dakota State and Vermont are the favorites in those conferences. We also have our first conference final on Saturday. The Ohio Valley Conference will have Eastern Kentucky vs. Belmont, both teams looked really good last night. Both teams can score it up, should be a really good game. Let's not forget about the non tourney games going on Saturday, some really good ones to watch, should be a fun day.  Thanks for reading.

Curt