Thursday, May 1, 2014

Season Projections 5/1

The Reds have now completed 27 games this season, which puts them exactly 1/6th of the way to the finish line.  For the heck of it I calculated what the hitters numbers would look like if they kept up their current paces.  Warning, nothing looks that good but some of the numbers can be encouraging depending on what your expectations were starting the season.  Below are the numbers, then I'll point out a few things that caught my eye.  Enjoy.

AVG.     HR.     RBI.     2B.     BB.     K.     SB.     R.
.245.        6.        36.       18.      24.    114.    66.     78.          Billy Hamilton
.256.        6.        36.       12.       6.      54      18.     36.          Chris Heisey
.260.       12.       60.       24.      24.    114.     0.      36.          Ryan Ludwick
.160.        0.         6.         6.       36.     54.     12.     12.          Roger Bernadina
.220.       18.       84.       24.     114.   162.    30.    102.         Jay Bruce
.280.       24.       60.       30.     144.   132.     6.      90.          Joey Votto
.255.        6.        36.       24.      18.    150.     0.      42.          Brandon Phillips
.180.        6.        54.       30.      18.     90.      0.      24.          Zack Cozart
.247.       24.       72.       36.      60.    120.    12.     84.          Todd Frazier
.143.        0.         6.         0.       12.     18.      0.       6.           Ramon Santiago
.200.        0.         6.         6.        0.       6.       6.       6.           Neftali Soto
.200.        0.         0.         0.        0.      12.      0.       0.           Tucker Barnhart
.468.       18.       78.       36.      24.     60.      6.      60.          Devin Mesoraco
.304.        6.        18.       24.      24.     48.     12.     18.          Brayan Pena

Hamilton ends the year with a .245 average, 36 RBI, 66 SB, and 78 Runs, I think we would take that.

Bruce with 114 walks and 30 SB would be nice.  The 162 K's wouldn't be.

Votto with only 60 RBI and 132 K's.  So much for not getting any pitches to hit.

Phillips on pace for 18 walks and 150 K's?  Good Lord!

Mesoraco's numbers would be awesome if he gets back soon and stays hot.

Heisey, Santiago, Soto, and Barnhart have worked one whole walk combined.

Only the 2 good catchers have averages over .300.

As bad as Cozart has been, his K total isn't too bad, maybe that's a sign some balls will start to find holes.

Could we really go a year without a guy hitting 25 homers?

The big number is the pace of only winning 72 games.

Please feel free to point out some other good and bad numbers you might see, besides the obvious of course. Thanks for reading.

Curt